Real Madrid would have had mixed emotions following the clasico at the weekend. A 2-2 draw was a decent result in some respects given they were coming off a big European night and twice trailed in the game. However there would also have been a tinge of regret that they failed to end Barca’s unbeaten league record.
In truth that was the final league game this season that really mattered to Real Madrid. They have three to go still but the battle for 2nd place with Atleti is not one that is deeply troubling either Diego Simeone and Zinedine Zidane. All both men will be concerned by now is getting their teams in optimum shape for their respective European finals and it would be no surprise to see both teams on the end of a few league upsets over the coming weeks.
There is certainly real potential for one here although some bookies actually have Sevilla as favourites for the win. They do have an excellent home record against Los Blancos while the absence of Ronaldo to injury also plays a part in that. We are likely to see the visitors rotate and certainly the Andalusians have a good chance of coming out on top.
They have brought in former boss Joaquín Caparrós as replacement for the sacked Vincenzo Montella and the experienced Spaniard got off to a winning start as Sevilla saw off Real Sociedad in their last home game. Even so, they remain in 8th and outside of the European positions as it stands so this is a genuinely big game for Sevilla as they bid to leapfrog Girona into 7th.
It’s a match that certainly has the potential to produce goals. Sevilla actually have the 7th worst defensive record in La Liga so even without Ronaldo, Real Madrid will fancy they can exploit those cracks. The Andalusian side’s matches average 2.77 goals per game overall in La Liga this term while Real’s average 3.51.
82% of Real Madrid away games have produced over 2.5 goals and they will be able to play with a fair amount of freedom here given the stakes aren’t that high for them. All of their last 8 games have seen both teams score and with a few defensive injuries to contend with right now, they have certainly looked vulnerable at the back.
Therefore goals look likely here and backing Over 3.5 Goals could be worth considering.
Going for Sevilla & Both Teams to Score also appeals. Their excellent home record against Real will give them confidence and the change of coach was perhaps needed so they will be right up for this. Real meanwhile are missing some key men and may struggle to lift themselves following on from two huge matches in the space of a few days.